Ingalls Weather<p><strong>Is La Niña returning Fall 2025?</strong></p><p>Winter 2024-25 came with a short-lived and weak La Niña that waned in the Spring. Since then, the equatorial Pacific has been settled in what we call an ENSO neutral pattern (meaning that we are not experiencing El Niño or La Niña).</p><p>Some modeling has hinted toward La Niña making a return around October or November of this year. Along with this, a few online weather sources have latched onto the La Niña train and the hype that it contains.</p><blockquote><p><em>Ingalls Weather thanks the support it gets from donors. Please consider making a small donation </em><a href="https://ingallswx.com/donate/" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">at this link</a><em> to help me pay for the website and access to premium weather data.</em></p></blockquote>NOAA Climate Prediction Center forecast ENSO category chances. (NOAA)<p>The NOAA Climate Prediction Center is not sold on the idea of an impeding La Niña and neither am I. It is true that they slightly favor the emergence of La Niña October or November but it appears to be fairly short lived with ENSO neutral conditions returning around the New Year.</p><p>For the Climate Prediction Center to officially forecast a La Niña (or El Niño) event, they need to be favoring those conditions for five consecutive three month periods. Their latest forecast, issued July 10, only has two consecutive periods.</p> <p>Type your email…</p><p>Subscribe</p> Various weather model views on ENSO conditions through the end of the year. (StormVista)<p>To reach La Niña, the equatorial Pacific needs to have sea surface temperatures 0.5°C or cooler below average. We might tap that around October or November but the consensus is definitely closer to neutral conditions.</p><p>La Niña can be exciting in the Pacific Northwest because it can bring cooler weather and above average precipitation in the winter. Unfortunately for lovers of Cascade concrete this doesn’t seem the case for this year. There will certainly still be mountain snow, and there are other features that drive regional weather, but La Niña doesn’t appear to be one of those relevant drivers.</p><p>ENSO neutral years can bring plenty of exciting weather to Washington, Oregon, and British Columbia, however. Evidence suggests that fall wind storms are more common during ENSO neutral falls than under other ENSO categories. With this comes a higher risk (but not a guarantee) of a severe wind storm.</p><p>Despite early forecasts to the contrary, Fall 2024 came in ENSO neutral. We had plenty of fall storms including a particularly robust atmospheric river aimed at the Lower Mainland. These storms kept temperatures mild into December as the mean flow was out of the southwest.</p><p>Fall 2025 certainly won’t be exactly the same as Fall 2024 but the storm pattern could be fairly similar in scope. Even if La Niña conditions briefly emerge, it’s more likely to seem like an ENSO neutral fall rather than a La Niña fall because of how weak it appears to be.</p><p>ENSO, or the El Niño Southern Oscillation, refers to sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific. The primary region meteorologists look at for diagnosis is from 120° to 170°W, well to the west of the Ecuadorian coast which sits at around 80°W. El Niño is present when water temperatures are above average and La Niña represents below average water temperatures.</p><p>The oscillation is driven by a number of factors, mainly coming down to how the wind interacts with the sea surface which impacts how much upwelling of cool water occurs on the South American coast. Air pressure values in Tahiti and Darwin, Australia are utilized to aid in diagnosis of the atmospheric pattern.</p><p><em>The featured image is of a bomb cyclone that struck the Pacific Northwest on November 19, 2024. (University of Wisconsin/NOAA)</em></p><p><a rel="nofollow noopener" class="hashtag u-tag u-category" href="https://ingallswx.com/tag/bcstorm/" target="_blank">#BCstorm</a> <a rel="nofollow noopener" class="hashtag u-tag u-category" href="https://ingallswx.com/tag/enso/" target="_blank">#ENSO</a> <a rel="nofollow noopener" class="hashtag u-tag u-category" href="https://ingallswx.com/tag/orwx/" target="_blank">#orwx</a> <a rel="nofollow noopener" class="hashtag u-tag u-category" href="https://ingallswx.com/tag/wawx/" target="_blank">#wawx</a> <a rel="nofollow noopener" class="hashtag u-tag u-category" href="https://ingallswx.com/tag/weather/" target="_blank">#Weather</a></p>
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Denis Gilbert<p>It is always interesting to see how successive El Niño events and La Niña events modulate the 12-month average global warming time series. The 1997-1998, 2015-2016, 2018-2019 and 2023-2024 El Niño events are readily detectable as bumps in this graphic from <span class="h-card" translate="no"><a href="https://masto.ai/@CopernicusECMWF" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">@<span>CopernicusECMWF</span></a></span>.</p><p>And the slight temporary cooling of the past months is due to a brief La Niña event that took place a few months ago. </p><p><a href="https://climate.copernicus.eu/surface-air-temperature-june-2025" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">climate.copernicus.eu/surface-</span><span class="invisible">air-temperature-june-2025</span></a></p><p><a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/GlobalWarming" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>GlobalWarming</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/ClimateChange" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ClimateChange</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/ENSO" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ENSO</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/ElNi%C3%B1o" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ElNiño</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/LaNi%C3%B1a" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>LaNiña</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/ECMWF" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ECMWF</span></a></p>
Denise Gutzmer<p>ENSO-Neutral is likely in the Northern Hemisphere summer 2025 (82% chance in June-August) and may continue into winter 2025-26, though confidence is lower (48% chance of Neutral and 41% chance of La Niña in November-January).</p><p><a href="https://mindly.social/tags/ENSO" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ENSO</span></a> </p><p><a href="https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ana</span><span class="invisible">lysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml</span></a></p>
Denise Gutzmer<p>ENSO-neutral is favored through the Northern Hemisphere summer 2025 (74% chance during June-August), with chances exceeding 50% through August-October 2025.</p><p><a href="https://mindly.social/tags/ENSO" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ENSO</span></a> </p><p><a href="https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="">cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/</span><span class="invisible"></span></a></p>
Anne Ominous<p>the meteorologists have called it.</p><p>the very weak La Nina that stuck around for a whole 3 months has dissipated<br>and we're back to ENSO neutral.</p><p><a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/wx" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>wx</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/SeaSurfaceTemperatures" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>SeaSurfaceTemperatures</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/ENSO" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ENSO</span></a> </p><p><a href="https://apnews.com/article/la-nina-el-nino-climate-drought-9c357862ffdd8b0eb67e315c944a1707" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">apnews.com/article/la-nina-el-</span><span class="invisible">nino-climate-drought-9c357862ffdd8b0eb67e315c944a1707</span></a></p>
Alberniweather ☔️ ☀️ ❄️ 🌬️<p>Latest ENSO (El Niño/Southern Oscillation) forecast is out. The verdict is that the minor La Niña that existed the past few months is now gone. We are in “Neutral" conditions for the forseeable future, likely all the way to Fall and maybe next Winter.</p><p>Better chance of another La Niña next summer than El Niño, but the best chance is for Neutral conditions.<br><a href="https://socialbc.ca/tags/LaNi%C3%B1a" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>LaNiña</span></a> <a href="https://socialbc.ca/tags/ElNi%C3%B1o" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ElNiño</span></a> <a href="https://socialbc.ca/tags/ENSO" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ENSO</span></a> <a href="https://socialbc.ca/tags/PNW" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>PNW</span></a> <a href="https://socialbc.ca/tags/PortAlberni" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>PortAlberni</span></a> <a href="https://socialbc.ca/tags/BC" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>BC</span></a> <a href="https://socialbc.ca/tags/bcstorm" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>bcstorm</span></a></p>
Denise Gutzmer<p>The Growing Impact of ENSO on U.S. Extreme Drought and Flood Events</p><p>Extreme hydroclimate events, such as droughts, floods, and heavy rainfall, account for a substantial portion of weather-related disasters in the United States, leading to significant socio-economic losses involving agriculture, water resources, and public health, among others.</p><p><a href="https://mindly.social/tags/ENSO" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ENSO</span></a> <a href="https://mindly.social/tags/drought" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>drought</span></a> <a href="https://mindly.social/tags/flood" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>flood</span></a> <a href="https://mindly.social/tags/weather" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>weather</span></a> </p><p><a href="https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/the-growing-impact-of-enso-on-u-s-extreme-drought-and-flood-events/" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">aoml.noaa.gov/the-growing-impa</span><span class="invisible">ct-of-enso-on-u-s-extreme-drought-and-flood-events/</span></a></p>
Europe Says<p><a href="https://www.europesays.com/?p=1874087" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="">europesays.com/?p=1874087</span><span class="invisible"></span></a> Volatile Climate Splits Weather Agencies on El Niño Messaging <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Climate" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Climate</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/ClimateChange" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ClimateChange</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/ElNino" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ElNino</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/ENSO" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ENSO</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/GlobalWarming" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>GlobalWarming</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/LaNina" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>LaNina</span></a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/WeatherForecasting" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>WeatherForecasting</span></a></p>
Karen Kaspar<p>Relax - and enjoy your day!</p><p>Curled up kitten - handmade minimalist ink drawing<br>--> <a href="https://karen-kaspar.pixels.com/featured/curled-up-kitten-karen-kaspar.html" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">karen-kaspar.pixels.com/featur</span><span class="invisible">ed/curled-up-kitten-karen-kaspar.html</span></a></p><p><a href="https://socel.net/tags/relax" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>relax</span></a> <a href="https://socel.net/tags/art" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>art</span></a> <a href="https://socel.net/tags/AYearForArt" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>AYearForArt</span></a> <a href="https://socel.net/tags/painting" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>painting</span></a> <a href="https://socel.net/tags/cats" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>cats</span></a> <a href="https://socel.net/tags/caturday" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>caturday</span></a> <a href="https://socel.net/tags/CatLovers" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>CatLovers</span></a> <a href="https://socel.net/tags/pets" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>pets</span></a> <a href="https://socel.net/tags/cute" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>cute</span></a> <a href="https://socel.net/tags/animals" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>animals</span></a> <a href="https://socel.net/tags/kitten" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>kitten</span></a> <a href="https://socel.net/tags/AnimalArt" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>AnimalArt</span></a> <a href="https://socel.net/tags/PetPortrait" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>PetPortrait</span></a> <a href="https://socel.net/tags/ArtForSale" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ArtForSale</span></a> <a href="https://socel.net/tags/giftideas" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>giftideas</span></a> <a href="https://socel.net/tags/handmade" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>handmade</span></a> <a href="https://socel.net/tags/TraditionalArt" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>TraditionalArt</span></a> <a href="https://socel.net/tags/kunst" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>kunst</span></a> <a href="https://socel.net/tags/cat" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>cat</span></a> <a href="https://socel.net/tags/artist" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>artist</span></a> <a href="https://socel.net/tags/arte" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>arte</span></a> <a href="https://socel.net/tags/InteriorDesign" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>InteriorDesign</span></a> <a href="https://socel.net/tags/kitty" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>kitty</span></a> <a href="https://socel.net/tags/kittens" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>kittens</span></a> <a href="https://socel.net/tags/katze" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>katze</span></a> <a href="https://socel.net/tags/BuyIntoArt" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>BuyIntoArt</span></a> <a href="https://socel.net/tags/CatsOfMastodon" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>CatsOfMastodon</span></a> <a href="https://socel.net/tags/MastoArt" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>MastoArt</span></a> <a href="https://socel.net/tags/FediArt" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>FediArt</span></a> <a href="https://socel.net/tags/FediGiftShop" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>FediGiftShop</span></a> <a href="https://socel.net/tags/MastodonArt" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>MastodonArt</span></a> <a href="https://socel.net/tags/ArtistsOnMastodon" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ArtistsOnMastodon</span></a> <a href="https://socel.net/tags/catstodon" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>catstodon</span></a> <a href="https://socel.net/tags/WhiskersWednesday" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>WhiskersWednesday</span></a> <a href="https://socel.net/tags/zen" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>zen</span></a> <a href="https://socel.net/tags/peace" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>peace</span></a> <a href="https://socel.net/tags/enso" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>enso</span></a></p>
Anne Ominous<p>last year's insane weather was blamed by some on El Nino</p><p>now, they have been predicting a weak La Nina to emerge for a few months, and it just never crossed the threshhold (maybe it has by now tho)</p><p>yet, sea surface temperatures? they're not cooling much.</p><p><a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/ClimateChange" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ClimateChange</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/wx" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>wx</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/ENSO" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ENSO</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/seaSurfaceTemperatures" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>seaSurfaceTemperatures</span></a> <br><a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Earth" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Earth</span></a></p>
Niels de Winter<p>I'm highly impressed by this awesome short-term <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/climate" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>climate</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/reconstruction" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>reconstruction</span></a> study by Iris Arndt and colleagues, who use a <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/giantclam" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>giantclam</span></a> from the <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Miocene" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Miocene</span></a> to study daily (!) climate variability in this warmer period, including potential <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/ENSO" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ENSO</span></a> and <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/extreme" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>extreme</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/weather" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>weather</span></a>!</p><p><a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0031018224007004" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">sciencedirect.com/science/arti</span><span class="invisible">cle/pii/S0031018224007004</span></a></p>
Buddhist Art<p><a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Enso%CC%84" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Ensō</span></a>, <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Japanese" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Japanese</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/calligraphy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>calligraphy</span></a>.<br><a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/BuddhistArt" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>BuddhistArt</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Buddhism" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Buddhism</span></a></p>
CelloMom On Cars<p>"The research findings indicate that stronger winds across the equatorial Pacific have caused a notable acceleration of westward near-surface currents by approximately 20 percent in the central equatorial Pacific.</p><p>These changes may influence regional and global climate patterns, potentially affecting the frequency and intensity of <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/ElNi%C3%B1o" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ElNiño</span></a> and <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/LaNi%C3%B1a" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>LaNiña</span></a> events."</p><p><a href="https://scitechdaily.com/pacific-ocean-currents-are-accelerating-and-it-could-change-global-climate-as-we-know-it/" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">scitechdaily.com/pacific-ocean</span><span class="invisible">-currents-are-accelerating-and-it-could-change-global-climate-as-we-know-it/</span></a> <br><a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/ENSO" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ENSO</span></a></p>
anlomedad<p>While the Southeast of <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/Spain" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Spain</span></a> flooded again, <br>leaders of Southern Africa met to discuss disaster risk reduction from <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/ENSO" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ENSO</span></a> events. <br><a href="https://www.undrr.org/news/leaders-unite-address-impacts-el-nino-eastern-and-southern-africa" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">undrr.org/news/leaders-unite-a</span><span class="invisible">ddress-impacts-el-nino-eastern-and-southern-africa</span></a></p><p>Good to see nation states working together. This past <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/ElNino" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ElNino</span></a> has affected 60 million people directly in SouthWest <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/Africa" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Africa</span></a> with the effects of the drought and 5 millions with floods in the East. The incoming <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/LaNina" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>LaNina</span></a> turns the table: West Southern Africa will flood and the East run dry. <br>"Nearly 30 million people in Southern Africa face crisis levels of food insecurity."<br>"Since 2000, climate-related disasters have caused an estimated $540 billion in <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/LossAndDamage" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>LossAndDamage</span></a> in the region, and such events are becoming more intense and frequent because of <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/ClimateChange" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ClimateChange</span></a> </p><p>Sadly, no one spoke of getting to CO2zero asap. But getting independent from fossil fuel imports and related geo-political power games, and getting clean cooking fuel to everyone, and getting rid of toxic air pollution in cities are huge benefits.</p>
John Englart<p>10 New Insights in Climate Science 2024/2025:</p><p>1. Methane levels are surging. <br>2. Reductions in air pollution have implications for mitigation and adaptation given complex aerosol-climate interactions. <br>3. Increasing heat is making more of the planet uninhabitable.<br>4. Climate extremes are harming maternal and reproductive well-being. <br>5. Concerns about El Niño-Southern Oscillation and the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation with an increasingly warm ocean. <br>6. Biocultural diversity can bolster the Amazon’s resilience against climate change. <br>7. Critical infrastructure is increasingly exposed to climate hazards, with risk of cascading disruption across interconnected networks.<br>8. New frameworks for climate-resilient development in cities provide decision-makers with ideas for unlocking co-benefits. <br>9. Closing governance gaps in the energy transition minerals global value chain is crucial for a just and equitable energy transition. <br>10. Public’s acceptance of (or resistance to) climate policies crucially depends on perceptions of fairness. </p><p><a href="https://c.im/tags/AirPollution" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>AirPollution</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Methane" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Methane</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Health" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Health</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Cities" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Cities</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/EnergyTransition" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>EnergyTransition</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/AMOC" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>AMOC</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/Heat" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Heat</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/ENSO" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ENSO</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/ClimateScience" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ClimateScience</span></a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/ClimateCrisis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ClimateCrisis</span></a> <br><a href="https://10insightsclimate.science/" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="">10insightsclimate.science/</span><span class="invisible"></span></a></p>
legraLeGra<p>We recently had the <a href="https://fediscience.org/tags/enso" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>enso</span></a> forecasting group (who also does that fuzzy subseasonal2seasonal <a href="https://fediscience.org/tags/climate" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>climate</span></a> forecasting) recently moved from their old home at ldeo <a href="https://fediscience.org/tags/columbia" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>columbia</span></a> to <a href="https://fediscience.org/tags/nasa" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>nasa</span></a> <a href="https://fediscience.org/tags/giss" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>giss</span></a> - my lab. </p><p>I Super excited to have these new folks on site!</p><p>Brand new webpage for them went live today:</p><p><a href="https://data.giss.nasa.gov/iri_forecasts/" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">data.giss.nasa.gov/iri_forecas</span><span class="invisible">ts/</span></a></p>
llewelly<p>I was super slow checking the weekly El Niño Southern Oscillation : Recent Evolution, Current Status, and Predictions slides, but now that I do I see they've been impacted by hurricane Helene:</p><p>"9/30/24: Due to a data outage at NOAA NCEI, the weekly SST data has been temporarily<br>changed from OISSTv2.1 to UK Met OSTIA: <a href="https://ghrsst-pp.metoffice.gov.uk/ostia-" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">ghrsst-pp.metoffice.gov.uk/ost</span><span class="invisible">ia-</span></a><br>website/index.html . This impacts slides #4-9."</p><p><a href="https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ana</span><span class="invisible">lysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf</span></a></p><p><a href="https://sauropods.win/tags/Helene" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Helene</span></a><br><a href="https://sauropods.win/tags/Hurricane" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Hurricane</span></a><br><a href="https://sauropods.win/tags/ENSO" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>ENSO</span></a></p>
Lisa S Baker Art<p>Hope you have had a great weekend. Here is Teal Circle Abstract, newly added to my collection: <a href="https://1-lisas-baker.pixels.com/featured/teal-circle-abstract-lisa-s-baker.html" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">1-lisas-baker.pixels.com/featu</span><span class="invisible">red/teal-circle-abstract-lisa-s-baker.html</span></a></p><p><a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/art" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>art</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/artwork" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>artwork</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/wallart" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>wallart</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/arte" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>arte</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/mastoart" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>mastoart</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/mastodonart" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>mastodonart</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/fediart" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>fediart</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/abstract" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>abstract</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/abstractart" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>abstractart</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/painting" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>painting</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/wallart" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>wallart</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/homedecor" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>homedecor</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/beautiful" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>beautiful</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/pretty" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>pretty</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/brushstrokes" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>brushstrokes</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/painting" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>painting</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/creativetoots" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>creativetoots</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/buyintoart" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>buyintoart</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/artbooster" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>artbooster</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/artmatters" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>artmatters</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/decor" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>decor</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/whismical" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>whismical</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/vibrant" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>vibrant</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/artforsale" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>artforsale</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/artforhome" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>artforhome</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/mastodon" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>mastodon</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/fediverse" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>fediverse</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/bold" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>bold</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/enso" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>enso</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/geometric" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>geometric</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/shapes" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>shapes</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/sunday" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>sunday</span></a></p>
Das<p><span class="h-card" translate="no"><a href="https://sfba.social/@xvf17" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">@<span>xvf17</span></a></span> <br>Ah that's not quite so mundane really</p><p><a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Enso" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Enso</span></a><br>Here's one displayed at <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Ryoan" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Ryoan</span></a>-ji <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Kyoto" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Kyoto</span></a></p>
Camellia Tea Ceremony<p>Circles play an important role in zen thought😑<br>Without corners there is no end and no beginning, just an uninterrupted and continuous journey.</p><p>'Ensō' (円相), a circle painted with a single stroke, symbolizes absolute enlightenment, freedom of the mind, elegance, and the universe.</p><p><a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/zen" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>zen</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/enso" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>enso</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/%E5%86%86%E7%9B%B8" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>円相</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/enlightenment" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>enlightenment</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Genkoan" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Genkoan</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Kyoto" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Kyoto</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Takagamine" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>Takagamine</span></a></p>
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