We #Whisper our #SelfishWhispers to our #ImaginaryFriends to bend the laws of #Physics #Chemistry #Biology and #Probability to grant our #SelfishDesires. In #ZombieJew's name we #Whisper. #Amen
We #Whisper our #SelfishWhispers to our #ImaginaryFriends to bend the laws of #Physics #Chemistry #Biology and #Probability to grant our #SelfishDesires. In #ZombieJew's name we #Whisper. #Amen
People were less averse to #risk (d = 0.4) when making #prenatalTesting decisions in their SECOND #language — even when they seemed to understand the relevant information.
TIL: independence is a (much) stronger property than unrelatedness. It is definitely in the embarrassing category that I only discovered this after many years of using probability theory. But glad I did.
How can #language impact #risk perception?
#CIA's Sherman Kent famously attempted to standardize "words of estimative #probability" (1964): https://philpapers.org/rec/KENWOE
Milczarski et al. find many WEPs seem commensurable across #English and #Polish: https://doi.org/10.1017/jdm.2025.3
#probability : appearance of reality or truth
- French: Probabilité
- German: die Wahrscheinlichkeit
- Italian: probabilità
- Portuguese: probabilidade
- Spanish: probabilidad
------------
Thank you so much for being a member of our community!
#statstab #321 You Just Said Something Wrong About Logistic Regression by @Phdemetri
Thoughts: Odd, probabilities, and risk ratios. Coefficients in logistic regression are only one of these.
#logisticregression #oddsratio #riskratio #probability #odds #regression
I cannot think of an applied mathematics that is more beautiful and far-reaching, or philosophically wilder, than probability. No, nonlinear dynamics and chaos people, it’s not even close
#probability
#mathematics
#appliedmathematics
#philosophy
#philosophyofscience
@philosophy@newsmast.community
@philosophy@a.gup.pe
Not what I expected!
More people preferred high diagnostic uncertainty than low, even though the higher uncertainty caused more worry.
Within- and between-subject, quant and qual results: https://doi.org/10.1136/jme-2024-109932
The Monty Hall problem: You're on a game show with 3 doors. One has a car, two have goats. You pick a door. The host (who knows what's behind each door) opens a different door with a goat. Should you switch your choice? (Hint: Yes, it doubles your chances!) #Mathematics #Probability #MontyHall
"Our world should be at its most analyzable, explicable — but still it can feel like sorcery."
Eric Boodman for New York magazine: https://longreads.com/2025/04/08/does-luck-exist/
#Longreads #Luck #Chance #Probability #Philosophy#Superstition
Suppose I have a random event with k possible outcomes of equal probability. What distribution (if any) describes the probability of obtaining a specific sequence of length m after n events?
Over the past couple of years, I've really fallen in love with #tikz and all of its quirks.
TikZ is a plotting/graphics package for LaTeX that is especially useful for creating mathematical diagrams.
The support for mathematical notation is unbeatable and the flexibility of the language is extremely high. Also, graphics rendered to pdf/svg in this way are extremely lightweight and reproducible.
I do find it very challenging syntax to remember though, so I put together this GitHub repository to keep track of tikz code I've written.
https://github.com/ctesta01/tikz-examples/
Each graphic shown in the README is linked to its underlying .tex code.
Also the README has several links to documentation / tutorials that I've found helpful along with some tips I've learned from experience.
Dear LazyWeb: is there a C/C++, #RustLang or #Zig equivalent of #SciPy’s `stats` module for statistical analysis? Namely:
• a collection of common PDFs (probability density functions);
• MLE (maximum likelihood estimation) for these common distributions;
• KDE (kernel density estimation).
SciPy’s API is a pleasure to work with. Anything that comes close but usable from C/C++/Rust/Zig would make my life so much easier. Boosts appreciated for visibility.
#statstab #296 The most important theory in statistics
Thoughts: Fisher revolutionised statistics, and the Maximum Likelihood Estimate (MLE) is the crown jewel.
[2502.05244] Probabilistic Artificial Intelligence
https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.05244
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43318624
Manuscript 418pp ...
Elon Musk Says There’s ‘Only a 20% Chance of Annihilation’ With AI https://www.byteseu.com/787840/ #AI #annihilation #ArtificialIntelligence #chance #concern #ElonMusk #GoodOutcome #human #HumanIntelligence #interview #LastYear #NextYear #OpenAI #other #PodcastEpisode #probability
https://www.europesays.com/1881524/ Elon Musk Says There’s ‘Only a 20% Chance of Annihilation’ With AI #AI #annihilation #ArtificialIntelligence #chance #Concern #ElonMusk #GoodOutcome #human #HumanIntelligence #Interview #LastYear #NextYear #OpenAI #other #PodcastEpisode #probability
We #Whisper our #SelfishWhispers to our #ImaginaryFriends to bend the laws of #Physics #Chemistry #Biology & #Probability to grant our #SelfishDesires. In #ZombieJew's name #WePray. #Amen