Sigmoid Social

Dr Mircea Zloteanu ☀️ 🌊🌴<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/statstab" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#statstab</a> #388 The odds are it's wrong: Correcting a common mistake in statisticsThoughts: Report probabilities instead, which in R (not SPSS) can be easily computed for your models.<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/odds" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#odds</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/oddsratios" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#oddsratios</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/riskratios" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#riskratios</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/probability" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#probability</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/r" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#r</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/logisticregression" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#logisticregression</a><a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/test.12391" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank">https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/test.12391</a>

:rss: Hacker NewsDubious Math in Infinite Jest (2009) <a href="https://www.thehowlingfantods.com/dfw/dubious-math-in-infinite-jest.html" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.thehowlingfantods.com/dfw/dubious-math-in-infinite-jest.html</a> <a href="https://rss-mstdn.studiofreesia.com/tags/ycombinator" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#ycombinator</a> <a href="https://rss-mstdn.studiofreesia.com/tags/theorem" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#theorem</a> <a href="https://rss-mstdn.studiofreesia.com/tags/odds" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#odds</a> <a href="https://rss-mstdn.studiofreesia.com/tags/number" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#number</a> #108 <a href="https://rss-mstdn.studiofreesia.com/tags/integrals" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#integrals</a> <a href="https://rss-mstdn.studiofreesia.com/tags/mathematical" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#mathematical</a> <a href="https://rss-mstdn.studiofreesia.com/tags/math" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#math</a> <a href="https://rss-mstdn.studiofreesia.com/tags/reading" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#reading</a> <a href="https://rss-mstdn.studiofreesia.com/tags/mike" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#mike</a> <a href="https://rss-mstdn.studiofreesia.com/tags/tie" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#tie</a> #39 <a href="https://rss-mstdn.studiofreesia.com/tags/errors" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#errors</a> <a href="https://rss-mstdn.studiofreesia.com/tags/states" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#states</a> <a href="https://rss-mstdn.studiofreesia.com/tags/match" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#match</a> <a href="https://rss-mstdn.studiofreesia.com/tags/page" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#page</a>

:rss: Hacker NewsIntentional math errors in David Foster Wallace's work (2009) <a href="https://www.thehowlingfantods.com/dfw/dubious-math-in-infinite-jest.html" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.thehowlingfantods.com/dfw/dubious-math-in-infinite-jest.html</a> <a href="https://rss-mstdn.studiofreesia.com/tags/ycombinator" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#ycombinator</a> <a href="https://rss-mstdn.studiofreesia.com/tags/theorem" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#theorem</a> <a href="https://rss-mstdn.studiofreesia.com/tags/odds" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#odds</a> <a href="https://rss-mstdn.studiofreesia.com/tags/number" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#number</a> #108 <a href="https://rss-mstdn.studiofreesia.com/tags/integrals" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#integrals</a> <a href="https://rss-mstdn.studiofreesia.com/tags/mathematical" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#mathematical</a> <a href="https://rss-mstdn.studiofreesia.com/tags/math" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#math</a> <a href="https://rss-mstdn.studiofreesia.com/tags/reading" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#reading</a> <a href="https://rss-mstdn.studiofreesia.com/tags/mike" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#mike</a> <a href="https://rss-mstdn.studiofreesia.com/tags/tie" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#tie</a> #39 <a href="https://rss-mstdn.studiofreesia.com/tags/errors" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#errors</a> <a href="https://rss-mstdn.studiofreesia.com/tags/states" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#states</a> <a href="https://rss-mstdn.studiofreesia.com/tags/match" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#match</a> <a href="https://rss-mstdn.studiofreesia.com/tags/page" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#page</a>

Europe Says<a href="https://www.europesays.com/2045234/" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.europesays.com/2045234/</a> Next Pope Update: New Favorite Emerges to Replace Francis <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/BettingOdds" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#BettingOdds</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Catholic" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Catholic</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/CatholicChurch" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#CatholicChurch</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Christianity" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Christianity</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/odds" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#odds</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Pope" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Pope</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/PopeFrancis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#PopeFrancis</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Rome" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Rome</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/StatoDellaCitt%C3%A0DelVaticano" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#StatoDellaCittàDelVaticano</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/StatusCivitatisVaticanae" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#StatusCivitatisVaticanae</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Vatican" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Vatican</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/VaticanCity" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#VaticanCity</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/VaticanCityState" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#VaticanCityState</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Vaticano" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Vaticano</a>

Dr Mircea Zloteanu ☀️ 🌊🌴<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/statstab" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#statstab</a> #321 You Just Said Something Wrong About Logistic Regression by <a href="https://mastodon.social/@Phdemetri" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">@Phdemetri</a>Thoughts: Odd, probabilities, and risk ratios. Coefficients in logistic regression are only one of these.<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/logisticregression" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#logisticregression</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/oddsratio" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#oddsratio</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/riskratio" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#riskratio</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/probability" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#probability</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/odds" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#odds</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/regression" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#regression</a> <a href="https://dpananos.github.io/posts/2024-02-06-logit/" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank">https://dpananos.github.io/posts/2024-02-06-logit/</a>

doboprobodyne<a href="https://mastodon.social/@glyph" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">@glyph</a> I hear you.My favourite (perhaps less jarring?) example is when a court declares they have found someone guilty, and that their threshold of guilt is "on balance of odds".I look at the lawyers and the witnesses and realise that none of them has studied actuarial or probability mathematics. I wouldn't even trust them to understand a bet on the horses. For a scientist to watch them is like observing a cargo cult. Worse, I am sure, is for a scientist to find themselves on the receiving end of such a court.I would offer the meagre consolation that you can see the feedback loops that drive them to behave so, where they think themselves to have free will.<a href="https://mathstodon.xyz/tags/cybernetics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#cybernetics</a> <a href="https://mathstodon.xyz/tags/actuarial" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#actuarial</a> <a href="https://mathstodon.xyz/tags/odds" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#odds</a> <a href="https://mathstodon.xyz/tags/maths" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#maths</a> <a href="https://mathstodon.xyz/tags/math" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#math</a> <a href="https://mathstodon.xyz/tags/statistics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#statistics</a> <a href="https://mathstodon.xyz/tags/science" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#science</a> <a href="https://mathstodon.xyz/tags/scientificInquiry" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#scientificInquiry</a> <a href="https://mathstodon.xyz/tags/systemsArchitecture" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#systemsArchitecture</a> <a href="https://mathstodon.xyz/tags/justice" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#justice</a> <a href="https://mathstodon.xyz/tags/law" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#law</a> <a href="https://mathstodon.xyz/tags/policing" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#policing</a> <a href="https://mathstodon.xyz/tags/cargoCult" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#cargoCult</a>

Europe Says<a href="https://www.europesays.com/1935189/" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.europesays.com/1935189/</a> Nemzetek Ligája A/B csoport rájátszás: Magyarország – Törökország (távolodni látszik az NL A-osztályú hajója!) – Tipplap.hu <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/es%C3%A9lylatolgat%C3%A1s" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#esélylatolgatás</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/foci" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#foci</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/futball" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#futball</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/h%C3%ADr" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#hír</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/hoki" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#hoki</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/hungary" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#hungary</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/j%C3%A9gkorong" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#jégkorong</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/Magyarorsz%C3%A1g" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Magyarország</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/odds" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#odds</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/sportfogad%C3%A1s" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#sportfogadás</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/tenisz" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#tenisz</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/tipp" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#tipp</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/tippmix" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#tippmix</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/TippmixSzelv%C3%A9ny" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#TippmixSzelvény</a> <a href="https://pubeurope.com/tags/TutiTipp" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#TutiTipp</a>

Dr Mircea Zloteanu ☀️ 🌊🌴<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/statstab" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#statstab</a> #206 Probability, log-odds, and oddsThoughts: A great short document covering the differences between the three, and some R code snippets on how to compute and convert them.<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/logodds" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#logodds</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/r" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#r</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/stats" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#stats</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/probability" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#probability</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/odds" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#odds</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/oddsratio" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#oddsratio</a><a href="https://www.montana.edu/rotella/documents/502/Prob_odds_log-odds.pdf" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.montana.edu/rotella/documents/502/Prob_odds_log-odds.pdf</a>

Susan Larson ♀️🏳️‍🌈🏳️‍⚧️🌈<a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/VicePresident" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#VicePresident</a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/KamalaHarris" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#KamalaHarris</a> Plays <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Chess" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Chess</a> While <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Trump" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Trump</a> Plays <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Checkers" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Checkers</a>. While the polls suggest a close US <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/presidentialelection" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#presidentialelection</a> and <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/political" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#political</a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/deadlock" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#deadlock</a>, the <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/odds" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#odds</a> of a <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/Democratic" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Democratic</a> <a href="https://mastodon.online/tags/sweep" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#sweep</a> are rising. <a href="https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/harris-trump-differences-economic-policy-by-kenneth-rogoff-2024-09" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/harris-trump-differences-economic-policy-by-kenneth-rogoff-2024-09</a>

Sarfraaz Ahmed🛒 Grab the latest edition at: <a href="https://bit.ly/MyVoyageOf_Discovery" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank">https://bit.ly/MyVoyageOf_Discovery</a> 📨 Subscribe for more at : <a href="http://eepurl.com/iu6PFU" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank">http://eepurl.com/iu6PFU</a><a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Python" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Python</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/MyVoD" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#MyVoD</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Odds" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Odds</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/probability" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#probability</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/debugger" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#debugger</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/startups" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#startups</a>

AI6YR BenProof they bought every number is they ALSO cashed in every combination of five-out-of-six wins possible, per that article. <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/math" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#math</a> <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/lotto" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#lotto</a> <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/mathematics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#mathematics</a> <a href="https://m.ai6yr.org/tags/odds" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#odds</a>

Sean MurthySocks are a special kind of evil, I tell you: None of the first 14 individual socks I pulled out of the hamper belonged to a pair. 😈(It was laundry day.)<a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/socks" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#socks</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/laundry" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#laundry</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/probability" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#probability</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/odds" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#odds</a>

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