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Really not convinced that are dangerous or being deployed rashly or whatever. But I do think the perception of danger has legs and is likely to become a major factor limiting AI deployment within 2-3 years. Whatever the rationale, economic disruptions on this scale simply do generate regulatory pushback.

Advadnoun

@TedUnderwood usually I'm all for "do this right & with care," but seeing OAI's tacit suggestion of "let's only allow *some* corporations to have GPUs" without analysis of "that sure does create power for... OAI in particular" does make my stomach turn.

Cause for concern that thing slow, and that things *centralize* in ways that are undeniably awful in the mid-term.

@TedUnderwood doesn't sway my sense that people will end up trusting a sytem that's even less reliable than existing search & more convincing, along with representation issues to boot.

But the solution there is sure as hell not: let's hand all the GPUs to five corporations (including microsoft 🙃)

@Adverb I think search applications are going to seem uncontroversial in a few years. I also think people will largely accept “personal assistant” types of functions (calendar and email management). When personal assistant becomes paralegal or physician’s assistant: that’s the boundary where I expect resistance to kick in. I would expect laws that define legal personhood and limit reliance on non-persons for certain decisions.

Maybe also laws that limit what your assistant can actually do for you on the web—can it buy stuff etc— using an “AI safety” rationale. But limiting GPUs… is not a serious proposal.

@TedUnderwood it's a terrible proposal but I think, depending on how things shake out, it's so lucrative it may be pushed with these reasons!