'PGMax: Factor Graphs for Discrete Probabilistic Graphical Models and Loopy Belief Propagation in JAX', by Guangyao Zhou et al.
http://jmlr.org/papers/v25/23-1010.html
#probabilistic #pgmax #pgms
'PGMax: Factor Graphs for Discrete Probabilistic Graphical Models and Loopy Belief Propagation in JAX', by Guangyao Zhou et al.
http://jmlr.org/papers/v25/23-1010.html
#probabilistic #pgmax #pgms
Earthquake Hazard Uncertainties Improved Using Precariously Balanced Rocks
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https://doi.org/10.1029/2020AV000182 <-- shared paper
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#GIS #spatial #mapping #spatialanalysis #geomorphometry #probabilistic #seismichazard #analysis #PSHA #groundmotion #earthquake #risk #hazard #naturalhazard #quantitative #fault #faulting #geology #engineeringgeology #empirical #balancedrocks #PBR #California #cosmogenic #10Be #dating #model #modeling #hazardmodel #probability #infrastructure #cost #economics
The 2023 US 50-State National Seismic Hazard Model - Overview And Implications
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https://www.usgs.gov/programs/earthquake-hazards/science/2023-national-seismic-hazard-model-whats-shaking <-- USGS technical article
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https://doi.org/10.1177/87552930231215428 <-- shared paper
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#GIS #spatial #mapping #earthquake #seismichazard #risk #hazard #shakemap #cost #economics #geology #engineeringgeology #hazardmodel #model #modeling #seismicity #faultruptures #groundmotions #probabilistic #probability #geostatistics #engineering #planning #management #mitigation #NSHM #forecast #infrastructure #publicsafety #hazardassessment #fault #faulting #structuralgeology #intensity #mercalli #buildingcode #design #publicpolicy #shakemap #engineeringrisk #future
@USGS @FEMA
Right - so 2 basic ways to look at it:
Each specialty branch comes up with their own perspectives, priorities/hierarchies, and jargon. With few exceptions, they stay in their own lanes and do not mix outside their field/subfield. Their writings are stand-alone, rarely intended to connect back to the greater human knowledge base. They'll tell you exactly what "wet" or "sound" is, based entirely on their tiny-desk world-view.
The other way would be a general model of vibration, perhaps based on quantitative info rather than qualitative. It would incorporate all modes of vibratory phenomena, regardless of mediums, velocities, or other characteristics that were fleshed out by some subfield as critical for their particular context & definitions.
Frequency (Hz) actually would be a good quantitative baseline for this, if it hadn't been exorcised from #quantum mechanics.
The "old QM", as espoused by the founders and historic supporters for the split in Physics, used a semi-classical approach that was later abandoned. Later, Pi was added to E = hf as convenience for some aspects, but frequency generally falls away when you work with quantum states ala Schrödinger. #Time is just an input to QM, and is the #Newtonian, absolute kind. The concepts of frequency & wavelength seem to get in the way of the probabilistic formalism.
IMO, the #probabilistic formalism then gets in the way of a #relativistic completion to quantum theory being developed, though in reality, there is no limit to the imaginative supplemental mathematic epicycles that can be added while still spitting out the same expected answers.
Which brings us to political economy – of course.
Because this turn to defense contracting that the large tech companies have been making is a key part of their revenue model.
Work by Tech Inquiry recently revealed that
the five largest US military contracts to major tech firms between 2019 and 2022
have contract ceilings of $53 billion.
And those are the ones we know of.
Due to the combination of military classification and corporate secrecy
– transparency
– let alone accountability
– is very hard to come by.
The use of #probabilistic techniques to determine who is worthy of death
– wherever they’re used
– is, to me, the most chilling example of the serious dangers of the current centralized AI industry ecosystem,
and of the very material risks of believing the bombastic claims of intelligence and accuracy that are used to market these inaccurate systems.
And to justify carnage under the banner of computational sophistication.
As UN Secretary General Antonio Gutiérrez put it,
“machines that have the power and the discretion to take human lives are politically unacceptable,
are morally repugnant,
and should be banned by international law.”
It’s because of this that I join the
German Forum of Computer Scientists for Peace and Social Responsibility
in demanding that
“practices of targeted killing with supporting systems be outlawed as war crimes.”
Particularly given the very real possibility of a more authoritarian government in the US, where these companies are homed.
A place where the right wing in the country has already broadcast plans to
bring the two major tech regulators in the US
–the Federal Trade Commission and the Federal Communications Commission
–under direct presidential control in the future.
Where four of the top five social media platforms are housed, alongside cloud giants that currently control 70% of the global cloud market.
And where a federal abortion ban is on the right wing agenda,
accompanied by ongoing campaigns of book banning and censorship of LGBTQ resources and expression
already shaping legislation at the state level.
(6/8)
'Learning Non-Gaussian Graphical Models via Hessian Scores and Triangular Transport', by Ricardo Baptista, Youssef Marzouk, Rebecca Morrison, Olivier Zahm.
http://jmlr.org/papers/v25/21-0022.html
#hessian #probabilistic #multivariate
We propose to reinterpret KGE models into generative KGE circuits (GeKCs ).
GeKCs model a probability distribution over triples in a knowledge graph.
Such interpretation is built on top of #probabilistic #circuits (PCs) which bring the perks mentioned above. See the below!
Ant colony optimization algorithms
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ant_colony_optimization_algorithms
"[T]he ant colony optimization #algorithm (ACO) is a #probabilistic technique for solving computational problems which can be reduced to finding good paths through #graphs. Artificial ants stand for multi-agent methods inspired by the behavior of real ants. The pheromone-based communication of biological ants is often the predominant paradigm used."
'Generic Unsupervised Optimization for a Latent Variable Model With Exponential Family Observables', by Hamid Mousavi, Jakob Drefs, Florian Hirschberger, Jörg Lücke.
http://jmlr.org/papers/v24/22-0359.html
#probabilistic #sparse #variational
I will be hiring through #ELLIS this year: 3 fully-funded PhD positions for troublemakers in #ML #AI who want to design the next gen of #probabilistic #models and #programs that are provably #reliable and #efficient
Hello World!
I'm a Prof. of #ComputerScience at VRAIN/UPV (València, Spain), mainly working on (explainable, symbolic) artificial #intelligence #AI #XAI, (#probabilistic) #logic #programming, term #rewriting, #causality, #concurrency, programming #languages, #reversible computing, program #verification, and #debugging.
I plan to use this account mostly for scientific matters, but not only. I'm also quite interested in #photography, #sciencefiction, #travel, #movies, #series, etc, etc.
Hello World!
I'm a Prof. of #ComputerScience at VRAIN/UPV (València, Spain), mainly working on (explainable, symbolic) artificial #intelligence #AI #XAI, (#probabilistic) #logic #programming, term #rewriting, #causality, #concurrency, programming #languages, #reversible computing, program #verification, and #debugging.
I plan to use this account mostly for scientific matters, but not only. I'm also quite interested in #photography, #sciencefiction, #traveling, #movies, #series, etc, etc.
FCAI researchers on Mastodon (that we know of) are on this list.
https://mastodon.online/lists/2606
Toot away with @samikaski @oulasvirta @SimoSarkka @avehtari
@TeemuRoos @AcerbiLuigi
@HannuToivonen@mastodon.social (tai suomeksi @HannuToivonen@mastodontti.fi )
An #introduction toot! I'm Steven, a second-year PhD student at the AIML Lab TU Darmstadt, supervised by Kristian Kersting. My research topics focus on #deep #tractable #probabilistic modeling with a particular interest in #probabilistic #circuits.
Hi all . I am a Ph.D. student at Georgia Tech #GT working on #TimeSeries, #Multimodal #probabilistic prediction, and #uncertainty.
Looking forward to the #mastodon experiment in search of a saner, less #stochastic academic social media experience !
Thanks, @thegradient for the initiative.